Observed o budbreak bb and full bloom fb start dates with the predicted p dates RegCM3. Indicator analysis results Seven climatic indicators are considered.
First the values of the indicators are calculated for the period of observations Then the same indicators are calculated regarding the time slicebased on the outputs of RegCM3.
The future predictions are represented first for the base bloom period together with its day pre-bloom-period calculated as the average of the observed endpoints of the bloom periods st nd day of year.
Supposed that the phenology model predictions of the full bloom starting dates days earlier can be applied, the indicators are calculated for the analogous bloom period which is a period shifted 7-day earlier as the base bloom period. Table 1.
Means of climatic indicators of bloom with day pre-bloom period, Újfehértó calculated based on historical data and on RegCM3. The prediction of the RegCM3. Binsecret platform bináris opciók áttekintéséhez to the RegCM3. However, in case phenology stages come earlier, a significant decrease is expected.
In some years, it attained even 25ºC, and it was 16ºC only in others. The RegCM3. It means that bloom may of milder temperature condition in the future. The prognosis shows a slight, insignificant increment. These efforts are jeopardized by the unstable, changing climate, warming up, unbalanced precipitation as well as the increased frequency and intensity of weather anomalies.
Future predictions should be regarded for strategies of adaptation that are needed to be developed.
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Not only the changes of climate and phenology and their impacts but also the possible change of the way of plant respond should be researched. To this regular monitoring and high level, comparable data recording is necessary.
Intensive cooperation with growers and decision makers should be improved.
In one hand, warmer climate makes possible to grow varieties with higher heat accumulation demand, in pénzt keresni a bitcoin árfolyamának különbségén hand more frequent and more serious extreme events increase the risk of production. The symptom of phenology drift calls the attention to the need of new adaptation strategies which are surely unavoidable and urgent Diós et al.
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